While Henry Boot PLC (LON:BOOT) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn’t had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 12% in the last quarter. But that shouldn’t obscure the pleasing returns achieved by shareholders over the last three years. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 19% in that time.
Now it’s worth having a look at the company’s fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the three years of share price growth, Henry Boot actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 9.2% per year.
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company’s value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
The revenue drop of 23% is as underwhelming as some politicians. The only thing that’s clear is there is low correlation between Henry Boot’s share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
We know that Henry Boot has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Henry Boot
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Henry Boot’s TSR for the last 3 years was 27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It’s nice to see that Henry Boot shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 6.9% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That’s better than the annualised return of 0.9% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Henry Boot better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we’ve spotted 2 warning signs for Henry Boot (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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