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ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says Invest 92L is continuing to become better organized and is likely to become a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Gabrielle within the next day or two as a new tropical threat emerges off the coast of Africa in the Atlantic.
Tracking Invest 92L
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What we know:
NHC forecasters say Invest 92L, a large area of showers and thunderstorms in the Central Tropical Atlantic, continues to show signs of organization with a broad area of low pressure located about midway between the Windward Islands and the coast of West Africa.
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Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form in the next day or two as the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at 10–15 mph over the Central Tropical Atlantic. Some computer forecast models even show the system strengthening into a hurricane.
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Some of those forecast models show the system curving to the north and into the open Central Atlantic, keeping it away from land. Others show it taking a path closer to the Caribbean and eventually toward Bermuda.
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Invest 92L currently has an 80% chance of formation over the next 48 hours and a 90% chance of formation over the next seven days.
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Will Invest 92L impact the United States or Florida?
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Local perspective:
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It’s currently too early to know if the system will impact the United States or Florida.
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However, based on some models and forecasts, it does not appear that this wave would impact the U.S. East Coast. There’s the potential for a dip in the jet stream in the east, as well as the ridge in the Atlantic to steer this system out to sea.
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The FOX 35 Storm Team will continue to monitor the system.
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New tropical wave off the coast of Africa
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Dig deeper:
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Meanwhile, a new tropical threat has emerged off the coast of Africa in the Atlantic.
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The tropical wave is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
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Some slow development of this system is possible towards the mid-to-latter part of this week as it moves westward at 15–20 mph, moving from the eastern to central portion of the Tropical Atlantic.
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The system currently has a 0% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 20% chance of development over the next seven days.
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2025 Atlantic hurricane season
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Big picture view:
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Experts reminded people who live along the coast that it only takes one storm to cause major problems.
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The next name on the Atlantic storm list is Gabrielle, followed by Humberto, Imelda and Jerry.
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The “peak” of hurricane season was on Sept. 10. August, September and October are considered the most active parts of the season, which runs through Nov. 30.
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The Source: This story was written based on information shared by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), FOX Weather and the FOX 35 Storm Team on Sept. 16, 2025.