National Hurricane Center lowers development chances for Invest 91-L
A COUPLE SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND. LET’S TAKE A LOOK NOW AT THE TROPICS. HERE WE GO. HERE’S OUR FEATURE RIGHT THERE. AND THERE’S ALSO SOME ADDITIONAL MOISTURE THAT’S TRYING TO CATCH UP WITH SLOW MOVING. INVEST 91. WE’LL HAVE TO WATCH THAT INTERACTION. BUT YOU SAW ALL THAT DRY AIR. NOW WHEN WE LOOK AT THE GFS MODELS YOU CAN SEE THEY DO NOT DISSIPATE THIS STORM SYSTEM. THEY TAKE IT OFF TOWARDS THE WEST NORTHWEST. ALTHOUGH IT LOOKS OMINOUS. WHATEVER DOES DEVELOP ON THIS PARTICULAR MODEL OR MODELS, MOST OF THEM ARE PRETTY WEAK. SO THAT’S AT LEAST SOME GOOD NEWS. AND THAT TRANSLATES WELL WITH OUR TROPICAL MODELS. NOBODY IS INDICATING A HURRICANE. AGAIN, A MARGINAL TROPICAL STORM AT BEST ON THE FEW OF THE MODELS THAT STILL ARE ABLE TO CARRY IT INTO THE CARIBBEAN. SO WE’LL HAVE TO WATCH THAT. THERE’S A LOT OF FUEL FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP IF IT STAYS NORTH OF THERE, AND THEN WE’LL BE IN MUCH, MUCH BETTER SHAPE. ALL RIGHT, SO THE HEADLINES DRY AIR TOOK ITS TOLL TODAY. WILL IT DISSIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WE’LL HAVE TO WATCH ON THAT. IF YOU’RE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES PUERTO RICO KEEP AN EYE ON IT. BUT WE’RE NOT AS CONCERNED AS WE WERE 24 HOURS AGO. OF COURSE WE’LL KEEP YOU POSTED. SEVEN-DAY FORECAST NOW THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. PLENTY OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUN
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>> Video above: Previous forecastThe National Hurricane Center lowered the development chances for Invest 91-L. The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic. Initially, conditions appeared conducive for the system to continue developing, but the NHC explained that dry air is likely to limit its chances.A tropical depression could still form this week. At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 30%Formation chances for the next seven days: 60% Global modelsModels are taking the system toward the Caribbean islands. If it rapidly intensifies, the system would recurve. The weaker the system stays, the further it shifts westward. However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path. Hurricane season 2025The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival GuideThe First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2
>> Video above: Previous forecast
The National Hurricane Center lowered the development chances for Invest 91-L.
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The tropical wave, tagged as Invest 91-L, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic.
Initially, conditions appeared conducive for the system to continue developing, but the NHC explained that dry air is likely to limit its chances.
A tropical depression could still form this week.
This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.
At this time, it is too early to determine what, if any, impacts this disturbance may cause.
- Formation chances for the next 48 hours: 30%
- Formation chances for the next seven days: 60%
Global models
Models are taking the system toward the Caribbean islands. If it rapidly intensifies, the system would recurve.
The weaker the system stays, the further it shifts westward.
However, once the wave develops into a tropical depression, it will be easier to determine its potential path.
This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.
Hurricane season 2025
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.
>> More: 2025 Hurricane Survival Guide
The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
>> 2025 hurricane season | WESH long-range forecast
>> Download Very Local | Stream Central Florida news and weather from WESH 2