Key Takeaways
- Buffett’s $50 racetrack loss showed him that gambling is a losing game in which you’re trying to beat other bettors, while investing in businesses offers a “positive expectancy” that grows over time.
- That mistake pushed him toward bets with positive odds and a margin of safety—the same logic he uses in investing.
Warren Buffett lost $50 at the racetrack as a teenager, and it permanently changed how he thinks about risk.
In a recent CNBC special on his life, Buffett focused on the number like it still stings: “When I went home, I was $50 poorer, which was all I’d taken with me. That was equivalent to delivering 5,000 papers.”
He lost the first race, then “did the dumbest thing you can imagine” by betting every race to get even. He blew through his entire stake. Afterward, eating at a Howard Johnson’s, he did the math on how long it would take to earn that money back. His verdict: “That was the end of my racing.”
From Horse Bets to Positive Odds
Even then, Buffett was analytical. As a kid in Washington, D.C., he convinced his father, then a member of Congress, to pull horse‑handicapping books from the Library of Congress. He bought month‑old racing forms and tested systems on several dozen races a day to see if his approach could beat the track’s 18% “vig”—the cut the house takes before paying winners.
At the racetrack, he says, “All you’re doing… is trying to beat everybody else that’s making judgments about what horse is going to finish first. There’s nothing being created. There’s just a take.” By contrast, “In stocks, you’ve got a positive something—you’re earning money… I graduated from an operation with an 18 vig to something with a very dramatic positive expectancy in stocks.”
That framework—games rigged against you versus bets that quietly favor you—became central to his investing philosophy. In Berkshire Hathaway’s 1989 shareholder letter, Buffett says Berkshire has “no interest” in writing insurance policies that, on average, are likely to lose money. In a 1984 essay, he explained that buying businesses for less than they’re worth in conservative estimates creates a margin of safety—room to be wrong without losing everything.
The $50 loss also led to a more important rule: never feel forced to win money back in the same place you lost it. Losses hurt more than equivalent gains feel good. Psychologists call this “loss aversion.” Buffett’s racetrack story is that idea in real life: a small loss that permanently changed his behavior.
Charlie Munger, Buffett’s long-time business partner, later described exactly the traps the teenage Buffett fell into that day: chasing losses, overconfidence, and treating betting like a system he could beat. Buffett’s response was to build rules and systems that kept those impulses fenced off from his real money.
Related Stories
How Investors Can Learn From the $50 Lesson
Buffett hasn’t softened on gambling. At Berkshire’s 2007 annual meeting, he called it “a tax on ignorance” and pointed to casinos and lotteries as businesses that win precisely because the math is stacked against players.
For everyday investors, his teenage mistake suggests three rules:
- Treat negative-sum games as entertainment, not investing: Gambling profits are built on house edges and fees. Over time, the average player loses. If you play, treat it like buying a movie ticket—not building wealth.
- Don’t chase losses: When a stock or bet goes against you, you’re don’t need “get back to even.” Buffett’s turning point was realizing one dumb day had cost him 5,000 papers’ worth of work, so he stopped playing that game entirely.
- Only bet when the odds and price tilt your way: Understand the business, demand a margin of safety between price and value, and let time do the work. That’s the opposite of firing at every race.
You don’t need Buffett’s investing savvy or net worth to copy this mindset. You just need the willingness to let one painful, contained loss teach you to avoid entire categories of bad bets.